Objective research to aid investing decisions

Value Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for April 2024 (Final)
Cash TLT LQD SPY

Momentum Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for April 2024 (Final)
1st ETF 2nd ETF 3rd ETF
Filter Research

Investing Research Articles

515 Research Articles

Performance of Individual Chinese Investors

…evidence from detailed Chinese stock account data indicates that the trading of unsophisticated individuals tends to transfer their wealth to institutions and more sophisticated individuals (and to brokers and the government).

Cash as a Valuation Indicator

…non-financial firms with high levels of cash tend to use the cash for risky growth, earning higher average stock returns with higher beta. Trading frictions from rebalancing to capture the abnormal returns would tend to offset the alpha.

Volatility Premium and the Four Factors

…options buyers (sellers) might want to tilt toward stocks with high (low) betas, large (small) market capitalizations, low (high) book-to-market ratios and significant (no) momentum.

Mispricing Versus Liquidity for Earnings Uncertainty

…traders may have difficulty exploiting mispricing of stocks based on analyst disagreement about future earnings, because mispricing and trading friction rise and fall together. Small, nimble traders who carefully manage trading costs may have the best shot.

Filtering the Luck Out of Mutual Fund Performance Data

…dramatic growth in the number of actively managed mutual funds has driven the proportion of truly skilled funds down, without commensurate reduction in average fund fees and expenses.

Thrill Factor: The Stock Market as Amusement Park?

…game-like trading-enabled visual abstractions of the stock market may encourage individuals to see the market as amusement and treat trading like “edgework,” wherein experiencing anticipated risk becomes an end in itself.

Do Good Employers Make Good Investments?

Do companies famously known as good places to work outperform as investments? Or, contrarily, do they waste resources keeping employees happy? In his May 2007 paper entitled “Does the Stock Market Fully Value Intangibles? Employee Satisfaction and Equity Prices”, Alex Edmans analyzes the relationship between employee satisfaction and long-term stock performance. He identifies companies with… Keep Reading

Market Adapted to Buybacks and Secondaries?

Has the market evolved to extinguish exploitability of reactions to corporate stock buyback and secondary offering activities? In their December 2012 draft paper entitled “The Persistence of Long-Run Abnormal Stock Returns: Evidence from Stock Repurchases and Offerings”, Fangjian Fu and Sheng Huang compare recent (2003-2010) long-run abnormal returns following U.S. corporate stock buyback and Seasoned… Keep Reading

Which Kind of Equity Risk Gets Compensated?

Does the market pay a premium to equity funds with relatively high “bad” (left tail) volatility? In their May 2013 paper entitled “Volatility vs. Tail Risk: Which One is Compensated in Equity Funds?”, James Xiong, Thomas Idzorek and Roger Ibbotson compare return premiums for conventional volatility (standard deviation of total returns) and tail risk (value-at-risk)… Keep Reading

Low-frequency Media Coverage Level/Changes and Stock Returns

Does long-term media coverage of a firm exert predictable pressure on its stock price? In the November 2015 version of their paper entitled “Ninety Years of Media Coverage and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns”, Alexander Hillert and Michael Ungeheuer examine relationships between firm media coverage and stock returns. Specifically, they relate long-term New York Times firm coverage/changes in… Keep Reading