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Mike Wilson: Predictions and Track Record

How accurate are Mike Wilson’s predictions?

As of Nov 13, 2026, of 36 counted market calls by Mike Wilson since 2022, 17 were right (47%). Grade: C.

Grade
C
Right
47%
Vs. always bullish
−17 points
Counted calls
36
Rank
7th of 20

How calls are graded

Track record

38 counted calls
202220232024202520264,0006,0008,000Apr 4, 2022: bearish, rightMay 2, 2022: bearish, wrongMay 2, 2022: bearish, wrongJul 5, 2022: bearish, wrongJul 5, 2022: bearish, wrongAug 4, 2022: bearish, rightOct 4, 2022: bearish, wrongNov 2, 2022: bullish, rightNov 2, 2022: bearish, wrongNov 2, 2022: bullish, rightDec 1, 2022: bearish, wrongDec 1, 2022: bullish, wrongFeb 1, 2023: bearish, wrongApr 2, 2023: bearish, wrongMay 1, 2023: bearish, wrongJun 5, 2023: bearish, wrongAug 1, 2023: bullish, wrongAug 1, 2023: bearish, wrongSep 3, 2023: bearish, wrongSep 5, 2023: bearish, rightNov 3, 2023: bearish, wrongNov 3, 2023: bearish, wrongJun 1, 2024: bullish, rightNov 4, 2024: bullish, rightNov 4, 2024: bullish, rightDec 2, 2024: bullish, rightJan 6, 2025: bearish, rightJan 6, 2025: bullish, rightJun 2, 2025: bullish, rightJul 2, 2025: bullish, rightAug 4, 2025: bullish, rightAug 5, 2025: bullish, rightSep 3, 2025: bullish, rightOct 1, 2025: bullish, rightMar 2, 2026: bullish, wrongMar 2, 2026: bullish, openMar 2, 2026: bearish, wrongJul 4, 2026: bearish, open
S&P 500 daily close since January 2022, log scale, as of Nov 13, 2026. Triangle up: bullish; down: bearish. Filled: right; hollow: wrong; gray: not yet graded.

Latest predictions

5 most recent
  1. Neutral

    Wilson expects the gap between the index and the broader market to close over roughly the next month, with bond market volatility deciding how. If volatility in bonds… investinglive.com

    Neutral, not graded Came due S&P 500 −2.4%

  2. Bullish

    While there's risk in the near-term, we are gaining confidence in our 12-month bullish view fueled by better earnings/cash flow growth," Wilson wrote. finance.yahoo.com

    Right Came due S&P 500 +22.6%

  3. Bullish

    "While there could be some consolidation during 3Q,we remain bullish on a 6-12 month horizon as EPS tailwindsexpand, and the market has line of sight to Fed cuts." finance.yahoo.com

    Right Came due S&P 500 +20.2%

  4. Bearish

    He argues that even though the index may feel it's stuck in a relatively tight, give-and-take range, a stealth correction is already well underway. finance.yahoo.com

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 +10.6%

  5. Bullish

    Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson agrees that the bullish view is intact for now, with a lasting spike in oil above $100 needed to impact the US equity outlook. zerohedge.com

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 +10.6%

  1. Bearish

    Morgan Stanley’s chief U.S. equity analyst, Mike Wilson, has also reiterated that a correction in the equity market is inevitable and ultimately healthy, if the bull… insidermonkey.com

    Open Due S&P 500 +1.1% so far

  2. Bullish

    "Thus, unless oil prices spike in a historically significant manner and remain elevated, recent events are unlikely to change our bullish view on US equities over the… businessinsider.com

    Open Due S&P 500 +9.9% so far

All calls

With score and S&P 500 move

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