Objective research to aid investing decisions

Value Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for December 2020 (Preliminary)
Cash TLT LQD SPY

Momentum Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for December 2020 (Preliminary)
1st ETF 2nd ETF 3rd ETF
Filter Research
New Research Filter

The new filtering tool is a better way to search and order research. With the filter you can:

  • Enter search keywords
  • Select one or multiple categories
  • Filter specific date ranges
  • Sort by relevance, date, and popularity
  • Increase the number of posts per page

Questions or comments? Email [email protected].

Investing Research Articles

2894 Research Articles

Preliminary SACEMS and SACEVS Allocation Updates

The home page, Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS) and Simple Asset Class ETF Value Strategy (SACEVS) now show preliminary positions for December 2020. The top three SACEMS ETFs are unlikely to change by the close. SACEVS allocations are currently sensitive to yields, so they may shift a little by the close.

U.S. Economy and Equity Market Linkage Weakening?

How connected are principal measures of U.S. economic activity and U.S. stock market performance? In their October 2020 paper entitled “Has the Stock Market Become Less Representative of the Economy?”, Frederik Schlingemann and René Stulz model and measure relationships between market capitalizations of U.S. publicly listed firms and their contributions to U.S. employment and Gross… Keep Reading

Weekly Summary of Research Findings: 11/23/20 – 11/27/20

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 11/23/20 through 11/27/20. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

Evolution of Bitcoin as an Investment

How are attitudes toward Bitcoin as an investment evolving? In their October 2020 survey report entitled “Comparing Public Bitcoin Adoption Rates in 2020 vs 2017”, the Tokenist summarizes findings from a survey using the same questions as three of the most widely cited past surveys on Bitcoin adoption from October 2017, July 2018 and April… Keep Reading

Cyclical-Defensive Sector Rotation Based on VIX Level

Do differences in equity sector responses to stock market crashes (and associated volatility spikes) support an exploitably attractive sector rotation strategy? In the November 2020 update of his paper entitled “Actively Using Passive Sectors to Generate Alpha Using the VIX”, Michael Gayed examines a cyclical-defensive sector rotation strategy using the level of the CBOE S&P… Keep Reading

Stock Loan Fee as Return Predictor

Do stocks with high borrowing costs reliably underperform? In their October 2020 paper entitled “The Loan Fee Anomaly: A Short Seller’s Best Ideas”, Joseph Engelberg, Richard Evans, Gregory Leonard, Adam Reed and Matthew Ringgenberg examine equity loan fees (stock borrowing costs) as a predictor of stock returns. For perspective, they compare returns of their loan… Keep Reading

Online, Real-time Test of AI Stock Picking

Will equity funds “managed” by artificial intelligence (AI) outperform human investors? To investigate, we consider the performance of AI Powered Equity ETF (AIEQ), which “seeks long-term capital appreciation within risk constraints commensurate with broad market US equity indices.” Per the offeror, the EquBot model supporting AIEQ: “…leverages IBM’s Watson AI to conduct an objective, fundamental… Keep Reading

Weekly Summary of Research Findings: 11/16/20 – 11/20/20

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 11/16/20 through 11/20/20. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

U.S. Stock Market Returns Around Thanksgiving

Does the Thanksgiving holiday, a time of families celebrating plenty, give U.S. stock investors a sense of optimism that translates into stock returns? To investigate, we analyze the historical behavior of the S&P 500 Index during the three trading days before and the three trading days after the holiday. Using daily closing levels of the… Keep Reading

Testing for Trends in Trending for U.S. Stocks and Bonds

“Market Impacts of Growth in Target Date Funds” summarizes research on potential market-wide effects of periodic rebalancing actions of Target Date Funds (TDF), which trade against momentum. One piece of evidence is that monthly autocorrelation of S&P 500 Index returns is significantly negative during 2010-2019 but not during 1986-1995 or 1996-2005. Another is that TDFs… Keep Reading