Recent Investing Research

Are equity multifactor strategies, as implemented by exchange-traded funds (ETF), attractive? To investigate, we consider eight multifactor ETFs, all currently available: iShares Edge MSCI Multifactor USA (LRGF) – holds large and mid-cap U.S. stocks with focus on quality, value, size and momentum, while maintaining a level of risk similar to that of the market. The… Keep Reading

How does the performance of the global multi-class market look when evaluated at a monthly frequency? In their August 2024 paper entitled “The Risk and Reward of Investing”, Ronald Doeswijk and Laurens Swinkels assess global investing rewards and risks via an exhaustive $150 trillion portfolio of investable global assets priced at a monthly frequency, enabling… Keep Reading

The Inflation Forecast now incorporates actual total and core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August 2024. The actual total (core) inflation rate is lower than (a little lower than) forecasted.

Do exchange-traded funds (ETF) focused on cybersecurity stocks offer attractive performance? To investigate, we compare performance statistics of six cybersecurity ETFs, all currently available, to those of Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), as follows: Amplify Cybersecurity ETF (HACK) First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) iShares Cybersecurity and Tech ETF (IHAK) Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG) ProShares… Keep Reading

Can pattern recognition software, combined with news sentiment, identify profitable short-term stock trades? In their July 2024 paper entitled “Technical Patterns and News Sentiment in Stock Markets”, Markus Leippold, Qian Wang and Min Yang test the ability of pattern recognition software (convolutional neural network) to find profitable technical reversal patterns within U.S. and Chinese stock… Keep Reading

“Nixed: The Upside of Getting Dumped”, flagged by a subscriber, finds that “index deletions…could add an abnormal upside to a portfolio when the current growth-dominated bubble starts to deflate.” The authors have quantified findings as the Research Affiliates Deletions Index (NIXT), constructed by: Starting with deletions due to market capitalization changes from the 500 and… Keep Reading

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 9/3/24 through 9/6/24. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

A subscriber requested measurement of a “premium” associated with stocks of innovative technology firms by looking at the difference in returns between the following two exchange-traded funds (ETF): Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), which generally tracks the NASDAQ 100 Index SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Using monthly dividend-adjusted closing prices for these ETFs during March 1999… Keep Reading

Do exchange-traded funds (ETF) that track asset classes, such as those used in the Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS) and the Simple Asset Class ETF Value Strategy (SACEVS), exhibit reliable seasonalities? To check, we look at average return by calendar month for the following nine ETFs: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) iShares… Keep Reading

Are large and sophisticated investors (whales) better than small retail investors (minnows) at timing established crypto-asset markets? In their August 2024 paper entitled “Beneath the Crypto Currents: The Hidden Effect of Crypto ‘Whales’”, Alan Chernoff and Julapa Jagtiani compare short-term timing abilities of whales and minnows trading Ethereum (ETH). Specifically, they explore relationships between next-day… Keep Reading