Recent Investing Research

We have updated monthly allocations and performance data for the Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS) and the Simple Asset Class ETF Value Strategy (SACEVS). We have also updated performance data for the Combined Value-Momentum Strategy. We have updated the Trading Calendar to incorporate data for September 2022.

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 9/26/22 through 9/30/22. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

The home page, Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS) and Simple Asset Class ETF Value Strategy (SACEVS) now show preliminary positions for October 2022. The top three SACEMS allocations are unlikely to change by the close, but the second and third places could switch. SACEVS allocations are unlikely to change. For SACEMS, recall “SACEMS… Keep Reading

The “Simple Asset Class ETF Value Strategy” (SACEVS) seeks diversification across a small set of asset class exchanged-traded funds (ETF), plus a monthly tactical edge from potential undervaluation of three risk premiums: Term – monthly difference between the 10-year Constant Maturity U.S. Treasury note (T-note) yield and the 3-month Constant Maturity U.S. Treasury bill (T-bill) yield. Credit – monthly difference between the Moody’s… Keep Reading

Do exchange-traded funds (ETF) that track major currencies support a relative momentum strategy? To investigate, we consider the following four ETFs: Invesco DB US Dollar Bullish (UUP) Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Currency (FXE) Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (FXY) WisdomTree Chinese Yuan Strategy (CYB) We each month rank these ETFs based on past return over lookback intervals… Keep Reading

Referencing Eurekahedge CTA/Managed Futures Hedge Fund Index (Eurekahedge) used as a benchmark in “Are Managed Futures ETFs Working?”, a subscriber asked about adding a managed futures fund index to the Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS) asset universe. To investigate, we apply the methodology of  “SACEMS Portfolio-Asset Addition Testing” by adding either Eurekahedge or… Keep Reading

Do exchange-traded funds (ETF) that track asset classes, such as those used in the Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS) and the Simple Asset Class ETF Value Strategy (SACEVS), exhibit reliable seasonalities? To check, we look at average return by calendar month for the following nine ETFs: SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares Russell 2000… Keep Reading

Does coverage of stocks on Mad Money attract attention to them and affect their returns? In their August 2022 paper entitled “Does the Mad Money Show Cause Investors to Go Madly Attentive?”, Lawrence Kryzanowski and Ali Rouhghalandari examine reactions of investors to stocks related to Mad Money guest interviews and buy/sell recommendations. They measure impacts… Keep Reading

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 9/19/22 through 9/23/22. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

The body of research indicates that low-volatility/low-beta stock investing suppresses exposure to overall equity market risk. Does it work equally well for different sources of such risk? In his September 2022 paper entitled “Macro Risk of Low-Volatility Portfolios”, David Blitz examines the separate exposures of low-volatility portfolios to interest rate, implied volatility, liquidity, commodity, sentiment,… Keep Reading