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Ohsung Kwon: Predictions and Track Record

How accurate are Ohsung Kwon’s predictions?

As of Nov 13, 2026, of 14 counted market calls by Ohsung Kwon since 2024, 6 were right (43%). Too few for a grade (20 needed).

Grade
–
Right
43%
Counted calls
14

How calls are graded

Track record

18 counted calls
202220232024202520264,0006,0008,000Mar 17, 2024: bullish, rightSep 10, 2025: bullish, openSep 10, 2025: bullish, rightOct 7, 2025: bullish, wrongNov 10, 2025: bullish, wrongNov 12, 2025: bullish, wrongNov 23, 2025: bullish, wrongDec 22, 2025: bullish, wrongFeb 17, 2026: bullish, wrongMar 2, 2026: bullish, rightMar 2, 2026: bullish, wrongMar 3, 2026: bearish, wrongApr 11, 2026: bullish, rightApr 14, 2026: bullish, rightJul 1, 2026: bullish, rightSep 15, 2026: bearish, openOct 16, 2026: bearish, openNov 9, 2026: bullish, open
S&P 500 daily close since January 2022, log scale, as of Nov 13, 2026. Triangle up: bullish; down: bearish. Filled: right; hollow: wrong; gray: not yet graded.

Latest predictions

5 most recent
  1. Bullish

    We believe reports of delayed IPOs are bullish for the market, as AI labs potentially pivot to push for adoption again (plus less equity supply). fortune.com

    Right Came due S&P 500 +2.5%

  2. Bullish

    "3 months of sugar high," a team of analysts led by Ohsung Kwon wrote of their outlook for equities. "We remain structural bulls, and our 'tactically cautious' call… businessinsider.com

    Right Came due S&P 500 +8.3%

  3. Bullish

    "Unless we see a meaningful, earnings-driven deterioration, we still expect equities to have a solid year," said Kwon. moneycontrol.com

    Right Came due S&P 500 +11.1%

  4. Bearish

    In the event of a prolonged Hormuz closure and an oil shock to $100+, we forecast the worst-case scenario of 6,000 on the S&P 500. finance.yahoo.com

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 +10.8%

  5. Bullish

    History also suggests geopolitical dips should be bought, usually recovering in two weeks. Absent further escalation or an oil shock (more below), we remain bullish… fortune.com

    Right Came due S&P 500 +10.6%

  1. Bearish

    "[We] believe we're entering late innings of the cycle, arguing for multiple compression," Kwon wrote in a note Monday. "We see 5-10% downside risk" before the S & P 500… cnbc.com

    Open Due S&P 500 −0.3% so far

  2. Bullish

    Kwon said the S & P 500 can rally to 7,200 by the end of 2026, which represents more than 10% upside over Tuesday's close. cnbc.com

    Open Due S&P 500 +15.8% so far

  3. Bearish

    The strategist said he turned cautious in September, anticipating a time when the market will have to reset expectations that could spark a 5% to 10% drawdown even by… cnbc.com

    Open Due S&P 500 −1.3% so far

  4. Bullish

    “The semis and the AI infra trade that really carried the market so far this year is going to continue to be under pressure,” Kwon said. His year-end target stands at… inquisitr.com

    Open Due S&P 500 +0.2% so far

All calls

With score and S&P 500 move

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