Ray Dalio: Predictions and Track Record
How accurate are Ray Dalio’s predictions?
As of Nov 13, 2026, of 5 counted market calls by Ray Dalio since 2022, 0 were right (0%). Too few for a grade (20 needed).
- Grade
- –
- Right
- 0%
- Counted calls
- 5
Track record
6 counted callsLatest predictions
5 most recent-
Ray Dalio went further, telling Bloomberg Television that his bubble indicators showed markets "rising close to—not at—the same level in 2000 and the same level in 1929."
finance.yahoo.comWrong Came due S&P 500 −0.4%
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Dalio explained the mechanism of how such a bubble eventually bursts: "The pricking is the converting of wealth into money." He noted that today's AI-driven market is…
zerohedge.comWrong Came due S&P 500 +2.6%
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Other market pros, like Ray Dalio, have warned that the Fed's easing cycle could help inflate a bubble in markets.
businessinsider.comWrong Came due S&P 500 +1.6%
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“When interest rates go up, asset prices go down,” Dalio said Thursday. “The assets have gone down reflecting the interest rate adjustment but not down reflecting the…
institutionalinvestor.comWrong Came due S&P 500 +11.2%
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In fact, US stocks in aggregate still look overvalued by our measures. History shows that once the popping begins, bubbles more often overcorrect to the downside versus…
valuewalk.comWrong Came due S&P 500 −0.5%
Open predictions
Every guru’s open predictions, on On the Record-
Yahoo Finance reported on October 9 that Bridgewater Associates’ Ray Dalio said the market is close to bubble territory.
insidermonkey.comOpen Due S&P 500 +0.3% so far
All calls
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