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Jim Paulsen: Predictions and Track Record

How accurate are Jim Paulsen’s predictions?

As of Nov 13, 2026, of 23 counted market calls by Jim Paulsen since 2022, 14 were right (61%). Grade: B.

Grade
B
Right
61%
Vs. always bullish
−4 points
Counted calls
23
Rank
2nd of 20

How calls are graded

Track record

24 counted calls
202220232024202520264,0006,0008,000Jan 3, 2022: bearish, rightJan 8, 2022: bearish, rightJan 8, 2022: bearish, rightFeb 1, 2022: bullish, wrongMay 13, 2022: bullish, wrongJun 15, 2022: bearish, wrongJun 15, 2022: bullish, rightSep 15, 2022: bullish, wrongOct 1, 2022: bullish, rightJun 1, 2024: bullish, rightJul 1, 2024: bullish, rightJul 4, 2024: bullish, rightAug 26, 2024: bullish, rightAug 26, 2024: bullish, rightDec 31, 2024: bearish, wrongJan 3, 2025: bearish, wrongJan 3, 2025: bearish, wrongApr 8, 2025: bullish, rightAug 7, 2025: bullish, rightFeb 23, 2026: bullish, rightMar 11, 2026: bearish, wrongApr 2, 2026: bullish, rightJun 22, 2026: bearish, wrongSep 23, 2026: bearish, open
S&P 500 daily close since January 2022, log scale, as of Nov 13, 2026. Triangle up: bullish; down: bearish. Filled: right; hollow: wrong; gray: not yet graded.

Latest predictions

5 most recent
  1. Bearish

    Nonetheless, given the warning signs I am now monitoring, investors should give some consideration to adopting a slightly more bearish portfolio tilt for the foreseeable… cnbc.com

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 +3.9%

  2. Bullish

    But I am surprised and impressed by how many indicators are currently signaling bullishness! Not only simply bullishness, but a plethora of indicators are offering… businessinsider.com

    Right Came due S&P 500 +13.7%

  3. Bearish

    "I would not be shocked if the S&P 500 still suffers a correction," Paulsen wrote in a Substack post on Wednesday. businessinsider.com

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 +9.1%

  4. Bullish

    Jim Paulsen, a veteran Wall Street strategist, said a contrarian consumer indicator hints at a breakout. finance.yahoo.com

    Right Came due S&P 500 +9.3%

  5. Bearish

    As of now, he expects a 10%-15% stock market correction in 2025, which is quite a significant level, and has the potential to disturb the bull run of the US stock… economictimes.indiatimes.com

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 +15.2%

  1. Bearish

    Expect weaker economic growth, rising recession fears (although probably no actual recession), lower—not higher—bond yields, and a more challenging stock market in the… businessinsider.com

    Open Due S&P 500 −1.9% so far

All calls

With score and S&P 500 move

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