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Sam Stovall: Predictions and Track Record

How accurate are Sam Stovall’s predictions?

As of Nov 13, 2026, of 62 counted market calls by Sam Stovall since 2022, 36 were right (58%). Grade: B.

Grade
B
Right
58%
Counted calls
62
Rank
3rd of 20

How calls are graded

Track record

72 counted calls
202220232024202520264,0006,0008,000Feb 12, 2022: bearish, rightMar 7, 2022: bearish, wrongApr 1, 2022: bullish, wrongMay 3, 2022: bullish, wrongMay 5, 2022: bearish, rightJul 1, 2022: bearish, wrongNov 7, 2022: bullish, rightFeb 4, 2023: bullish, wrongJun 6, 2023: bullish, rightJul 3, 2023: bullish, rightAug 1, 2023: bullish, rightAug 1, 2023: bullish, wrongAug 2, 2023: bullish, rightSep 1, 2023: bullish, wrongSep 3, 2023: bearish, rightOct 9, 2023: bullish, rightNov 3, 2023: bullish, rightNov 3, 2023: bullish, rightJan 1, 2024: bullish, rightJan 3, 2024: bullish, rightMar 1, 2024: bearish, wrongMar 1, 2024: bullish, rightApr 1, 2024: bearish, wrongApr 2, 2024: bullish, rightMay 10, 2024: bullish, rightMay 15, 2024: bullish, rightMay 15, 2024: bullish, rightMay 16, 2024: bullish, rightMay 16, 2024: bullish, rightJul 3, 2024: bearish, rightAug 1, 2024: bullish, rightAug 3, 2024: bearish, wrongSep 5, 2024: bearish, wrongDec 2, 2024: bullish, wrongFeb 3, 2025: bullish, rightApr 2, 2025: bearish, wrongApr 2, 2025: bearish, rightMay 3, 2025: bullish, rightJun 9, 2025: bullish, rightJul 3, 2025: bullish, rightSep 2, 2025: bearish, wrongOct 1, 2025: bullish, rightNov 10, 2025: bearish, wrongNov 10, 2025: bullish, wrongDec 3, 2025: bullish, wrongDec 3, 2025: bullish, wrongDec 22, 2025: bullish, wrongDec 22, 2025: bullish, wrongDec 24, 2025: bullish, openJan 2, 2026: bullish, openJan 5, 2026: bullish, wrongFeb 4, 2026: bullish, rightFeb 13, 2026: bullish, rightMar 8, 2026: bullish, rightMar 8, 2026: bearish, wrongMar 9, 2026: bearish, wrongMay 4, 2026: bullish, rightMay 4, 2026: bullish, rightMay 6, 2026: bullish, openMay 6, 2026: bullish, openJun 29, 2026: bullish, rightJul 8, 2026: bullish, rightJul 22, 2026: bearish, wrongAug 3, 2026: bearish, wrongAug 5, 2026: bullish, wrongAug 14, 2026: bullish, openSep 11, 2026: bearish, openSep 15, 2026: bullish, openOct 2, 2026: bullish, openOct 9, 2026: bullish, openNov 4, 2026: bullish, openNov 4, 2026: bearish, open
S&P 500 daily close since January 2022, log scale, as of Nov 13, 2026. Triangle up: bullish; down: bearish. Filled: right; hollow: wrong; gray: not yet graded.

Latest predictions

5 most recent
  1. Bullish

    Well, there’s that old saying that the market likes to climb a wall of worry,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. “Despite trade issues… marketplace.org

    Right Came due S&P 500 +3.8%

  2. Bullish

    Don't expect the stock market's momentum in first six months of 2026 to wane in the back half of the year, according to CFRA. Chief investment strategist Sam Stovall… cnbc.com

    Right Came due S&P 500 +3.1%

  3. Bullish

    For now, however, the earnings backdrop has added to conviction in the near-term outlook, he said. The recent gains in tech could further buoy the indexes. "In the short… cnbc.com

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 −0.1%

  4. Bearish

    "Investors understandably feel like a runner at the start of a 100-meter high-hurdles race, contemplating a daunting array of forward obstacles," wrote Sam Stovall… cnbc.com

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 +1.9%

  5. Bearish

    "Investors are basically saying, 'If we are now starting to be on the leeward side of this earnings mountain, the best is likely behind us,'" Stovall said. "They're… ibtimes.com.au

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 +2.3%

  1. Bearish

    “I think that 5% is an emotional threshold above which investors would become increasingly concerned,” he said. “That could lead to additional softness in the market.” livemint.com

    Open Due S&P 500 −1.2% so far

  2. Bullish

    "It adds to the uncertainty, which is what causes the volatility and the average decline in the market leading up to the election," Stovall told MarketWatch. "Once it… morningstar.com

    Open Due S&P 500 −0.3% so far

  3. Bullish

    I think that 2026 will be a good year, but if history were to repeat -- and there's no guarantee it will -- we'll probably see a pretty anemic total return for the full… finance.yahoo.com

    Open Due S&P 500 +9.1% so far

  4. Bullish

    “A lot of headwinds indicate to me that while we could end up with a surprisingly good year, I don’t think it will be another great year,” said Stovall, who has a… thestar.com.my

    Open Due S&P 500 +10.3% so far

  5. Bullish

    So that would imply a year end target of 7575. So looking at a full year price, meaning 2026 price gain, that's still moderate at about 7%. finance.yahoo.com

    Open Due S&P 500 +2.7% so far

  6. Bullish

    "I cover the waterfront in terms of new all time highs, and that tends to imply favorable price performances for the next several months," said Sam Stovall, chief… cnbc.com

    Open Due S&P 500 −2.9% so far

  7. Bullish

    Fourth quarters of midterm years have generally been even stronger, with an average gain of 6.4%, as stocks "benefit from the lifting of election uncertainty," Sam… aol.com

    Open Due S&P 500 −2.1% so far

  8. Bullish

    “There will be a time when this bull market ends, but I don’t think valuations are stretched — unless we end up seeing downward revisions to earnings forecasts,” Stovall… moneycontrol.com

    Open Due S&P 500 −1.7% so far

  9. Bullish

    “This bull market will continue — but my worry is how narrow the rally is compared with history,” CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall told Bloomberg over a… economictimes.indiatimes.com

    Open Due S&P 500 −3.2% so far

  10. Bearish

    The max drawdown tends to occur later in the year. That means there may be more room for equities to fall from here, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment… moneycontrol.com

    Open Due S&P 500 −1.7% so far

  11. Bullish

    Well, we are making an adjustment. We made an adjustment just recently to, 7730 on the S&P 500. Now that is a 12 month target. finance.yahoo.com

    Open Due S&P 500 +2.7% so far

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