Evidence-based investing research
Value Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)
Allocations for November 2026 (Final)
Cash TLT LQD SPY
Momentum Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)
Allocations for November 2026 (Final)
1st ETF 2nd ETF 3rd ETF

Lance Roberts: Predictions and Track Record

How accurate are Lance Roberts’s predictions?

As of Nov 13, 2026, of 40 counted market calls by Lance Roberts since 2022, 16 were right (40%). Grade: D.

Grade
D
Right
40%
Vs. always bullish
−5 points
Counted calls
40
Rank
12th of 20

How calls are graded

Track record

41 counted calls
202220232024202520264,0006,0008,000Jan 4, 2022: bearish, rightJan 10, 2022: bearish, rightJan 10, 2022: bearish, rightFeb 3, 2022: bearish, rightFeb 11, 2022: bearish, rightFeb 15, 2022: bearish, rightMar 5, 2022: bearish, rightMar 8, 2022: bearish, wrongApr 7, 2022: bearish, rightApr 9, 2022: bearish, rightApr 25, 2022: bearish, rightMay 2, 2022: bullish, wrongMay 13, 2022: bearish, wrongMay 13, 2022: bearish, wrongMay 17, 2022: bearish, wrongAug 4, 2022: bearish, rightAug 29, 2022: bearish, rightNov 21, 2022: bearish, wrongNov 30, 2022: bearish, wrongDec 6, 2022: bearish, wrongFeb 14, 2023: bearish, rightFeb 19, 2023: bearish, wrongMar 3, 2023: bearish, wrongMar 7, 2023: bearish, wrongApr 2, 2023: bearish, wrongApr 10, 2023: bullish, rightNov 2, 2024: bearish, wrongNov 23, 2025: bullish, rightDec 1, 2025: bullish, wrongDec 15, 2025: bearish, wrongDec 22, 2025: bullish, wrongMar 15, 2026: bearish, wrongMar 25, 2026: bearish, wrongMar 25, 2026: bearish, wrongApr 26, 2026: bearish, wrongApr 26, 2026: bullish, rightMay 4, 2026: bearish, wrongJun 2, 2026: bearish, wrongJun 15, 2026: bullish, wrongJun 15, 2026: bearish, wrongSep 14, 2026: bearish, open
S&P 500 daily close since January 2022, log scale, as of Nov 13, 2026. Triangle up: bullish; down: bearish. Filled: right; hollow: wrong; gray: not yet graded.

Latest predictions

5 most recent
  1. Bullish

    None of this means you ignore inflation or abandon discipline. It means you refuse to let one oil-soaked May inflation print stampede you out of a market that just held… zerohedge.com

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 +0.4%

  2. Bearish

    Lance Roberts, Chief Investment Strategist at RIA Advisors, believes investors are underestimating a risk that has surfaced more than once throughout market history.… 247wallst.com

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 +0.8%

  3. Bearish

    Now, this is not a forecast, but it is a pattern. With margins at 15-year highs and the index trading at a forward P/E above 21x, against a 10-year average of 19x… fnarena.com

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 +7.4%

  4. Bullish

    For now, the market continues to climb a wall of worry, and the technicals say respect the trend. fnarena.com

    Right Came due S&P 500 +3.5%

  5. Bearish

    At BofA’s target zone of 7,168–7,206, now just 0.4–1.0% overhead, the index is approaching a natural ceiling where profit-taking is likely. fnarena.com

    Wrong Came due S&P 500 +3.5%

  1. Bearish

    Lance Roberts, who runs money at RIA Advisors and writes the Real Investment Report, sat down with host Adam Taggart on Thoughtful Money and argued the S&P 500 is so far… aol.com

    Open Due S&P 500 −0.8% so far

All calls

With score and S&P 500 move

All 58 calls, with score and S&P 500 move, are for members. Join CXO Premium