Michael Hartnett: Predictions and Track Record
How accurate are Michael Hartnett’s predictions?
As of Nov 13, 2026, of 43 counted market calls by Michael Hartnett since 2022, 13 were right (30%). Grade: F.
- Grade
- F
- Right
- 30%
- Vs. always bullish
- −26 points
- Counted calls
- 43
- Rank
- 14th of 20
Track record
46 counted callsLatest predictions
5 most recent-
Hartnett believes central banks and rising interest rates will ultimately spell the end, giving clients a "post-bubble" road map.
cnbc.comWrong Came due S&P 500 +0.4%
-
With financial conditions having crested, belief riding high that the economy will be OK in 2026, and support from the Fed and a generation of equity investors…
morningstar.comRight Came due S&P 500 +12.6%
-
Hartnett warns investors against fleeing the stock market even if they believe it's in a bubble because the last stretch of the rally is typically the steepest, and…
insurancejournal.comWrong Came due S&P 500 −4.8%
-
He also reiterated that bubble risks are mounting into the summer, especially following the House’s approval of a $3.4 trillion fiscal package featuring tax cuts.
swissinfo.chWrong Came due S&P 500 +7.0%
-
"We expect 'buy the expectation, sell the fact,'" Hartnett and his team wrote. In their view, the rally will fade as more deals are announced.
businessinsider.comWrong Came due S&P 500 +12.9%
Open predictions
Every guru’s open predictions, on On the Record-
Strategists flagged the risk of a "big" reversal in stocks following the midterm elections in November.
businessinsider.comOpen Due S&P 500 −2.5% so far
-
Market analysts meanwhile warn of further near-term losses. Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett expects weakness until mid-November, while Morgan Stanley's Mike…
iraqsun.comOpen Due S&P 500 −0.2% so far
-
“It’s risk-off until the dollar peaks,” said Bank of America Corp. strategists led by Michael Hartnett, noting the greenback is spiking on credit event risk, while…
economictimes.indiatimes.comOpen Due S&P 500 −2.7% so far
All calls
With score and S&P 500 moveAll 57 calls, with score and S&P 500 move, are for members. Join CXO Premium