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Horse Race: SSO or QQQ vice SPY in SACEVS and SACEMS?

March 13, 2024 • Posted in Equity Premium, Strategic Allocation

Referring to “Substitute QQQ for SPY in SACEVS and SACEMS?” and “Conditionally Substitute SSO for SPY in SACEVS and SACEMS?”, a subscriber requested a horse race for boosting the performance of the Simple Asset Class ETF Value Strategy (SACEVS) and the Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS), and thereby the Combined Value-Momentum Strategy (SACEVS-SACEMS), based on substituting:

  1. ProShares Ultra S&P500 (SSO) for SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) in portfolio holdings, but not in SACEMS asset ranking calculations.
  2. Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) for SPY in both portfolio holdings and SACEMS asset ranking calculations.

In conducting the horse race, we focus on gross compound annual growth rate (CAGR), maximum drawdown (MaxDD) and gross annual Sharpe ratio as key performance metrics. In Sharpe ratio calculations, we employ the average monthly yield on 3-month U.S. Treasury bills during a year as the risk-free rate for that year. Using monthly total (dividend-adjusted) returns for SACEVS assets, SACEMS assets, SSO and QQQ as available through February 2024, we find that: (more…)

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