Bonds During the Off Season?

Posted in Bonds, Calendar Effects


As implied in “Mirror Image Seasonality for Stocks and Treasuries?”, have bonds been better than stocks during the “Sell-in-May” months of May¬†through October? Are the behaviors of government, corporate investment grade and corporate high-yield bonds over this interval similar? To investigate, we consider the seasonal behaviors of:

SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VFITX)
Fidelity Investment Grade Bond (FBNDX)
PIMCO High Yield D (PHYDX)

Using dividend-adjusted monthly prices for these funds during January 1993 (limited by inception of SPY) through May¬†2015, we find that: (more…)

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