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Best Equity Risk Premium

Posted in Equity Premium

What are the different ways of estimating the equity risk premium, and which one is best? In his April 2019 paper entitled "Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation and Implications – The 2019 Edition", Aswath Damodaran updates a comprehensive overview of equity risk premium estimation and application. He examines why different approaches to estimating the premium disagree and how to choose among them. Using data from multiple countries (but focusing on the U.S.) over long periods through the end of 2018, he concludes that:

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