December 16, 2025 - Individual Investing
How can typical investors/managers rigorously translate their views on factor/style and sector/theme exposures into a portfolio of exchange-traded funds (ETF). In their November 2025 paper entitled “Implementing Systematic Risk Premia, Factor-Based Strategies, and Sector Rotation with ETFs”, Nino Antulov-Fantulin, Petter Kolm and Mario Šikic describe a methodology for constructing systematic, long-only investment strategies for family… Keep Reading
December 15, 2025 - Big Ideas, Momentum Investing
Does lack of liquidity among stocks in anomaly portfolios effectively block exploitation? In their November 2025 paper entitled “Liquidity Constraints and the Illusion of Anomaly Profitability”, Álvaro Cartea, Mihai Cucuringu, Qi Jin and Jiexiu Zhu assess exploitability of anomaly trading strategies after accounting for individual stock liquidities. They define liquidity of a stock as its… Keep Reading
December 12, 2025 - Miscellaneous
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 12/8/25 through 12/12/25. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.
December 12, 2025 - Equity Premium, Fundamental Valuation
Is U.S. equity market valuation outrunning its productive value? For perspective, we compare the trajectories of S&P 500 (SP500) index, earnings and dividends over recent decades and look at some potential explanations for divergences. Using quarterly SP500 data and 10-year U.S. Treasury note (T-note) yield during March 1988 through September 2025 and Shiller data as… Keep Reading
December 11, 2025 - Equity Premium
The equity premium is conventionally the return on stocks minus the risk-free rate (for short-term government bills). What should be the risk-free asset for equities, arguably expected to grow in real terms and never to mature? In the November 2025 draft of their paper entitled “Purifying the Equity Premium”, Christopher Polk and Tuomo Vuolteenaho argue… Keep Reading
December 10, 2025 - Equity Options
Is systematically selling cash-covered equity put options, as implemented by exchange-traded funds (ETF), attractive? To investigate, we consider six equity put-write ETFs, three dead and three living: US Equity High Volatility Put Write (HVPW) – oriented toward individual stocks (dead). ALPS Enhanced Put Write Strategy (PUTX) – index-oriented (dead). WisdomTree Equity Premium Income Fund (WTPI) –… Keep Reading
December 9, 2025 - Big Ideas
How is the increasing role of interacting algorithms changing financial markets? In his November 2025 paper entitled “Algorithmic Exuberance”, Marc Schmitt presents an Algorithmic Exuberance model, which automatically stimulates market volatility from two coupled feedback channels (see the figure below): Market-algorithmic reflexivity (trading systems learning from one another). Information-algorithmic reflexivity (algorithmic amplification of news, narratives… Keep Reading
December 8, 2025 - Calendar Effects, Momentum Investing
How material is the rebalance timing luck (RTL) induced by picking a trading day to reform a monthly stock momentum strategy? Is there a way to manage the risk of bad luck? In their November 2025 paper entitled “The Tranching Dilemma. A Cost-Aware Approach to Mitigate Rebalance Timing Luck in Factor Portfolios”, Carlo Zarattini and… Keep Reading
December 5, 2025 - Miscellaneous
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 12/1/25 through 12/5/25. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.
December 5, 2025 - Momentum Investing
Can investors rely on price/return momentum as an eternal strategy foundation? In their August 2025 paper entitled “Momentum Factor Investing: Evidence and Evolution”, flagged by a subscriber, Bart van Vliet, Guido Baltussen, Sipke Dom and Milan Vidojevic review the evolution of momentum in the literature and examine momentum factor robustness over a long sample period…. Keep Reading