Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 5/12/25 through 5/16/25. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

Are stock and sector momentum strategies, as implemented by exchange-traded funds (ETF), attractive? To investigate, we consider nine momentum-oriented equity ETFs, all currently available, in order of longest to shortest available histories: Invesco Dorsey Wright Momentum ETF (PDP) – invests at least 90% of assets in approximately 100 U.S. common stocks per a proprietary methodology… Keep Reading

What are the implications of stock trading volume spikes for near-term returns? In their February 2025 paper entitled “Volume Shocks and Overnight Returns”, Álvaro Cartea, Mihai Cucuringu, Qi Jin and Mungo Wilson study the effects of stock trading volume shocks during normal trading hours on subsequent overnight and next-day returns. For each stock each day,… Keep Reading

Can investors exploit the definition of conventional 12-2 stock momentum (long the tenth, or decile, of stocks with the highest returns from 12 months ago to two months ago and short the decile with the lowest) to form more persistent momentum portfolios? In the April 2025 revision of their paper entitled “Momentum at Long Holding… Keep Reading

The Inflation Forecast now incorporates actual total and core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April 2025. The actual total (core) inflation rate is lower than (lower than) forecasted.

Do individual investors trade carefully and cautiously, or do they make snap judgments? In their March 2025 paper entitled “The Research Behavior of Individual Investors”, Toomas Laarits and Jeffrey Wurgler employ browser histories for an approximately representative sample of U.S. individual investors to address: How much time do they spend on stock research? Which sites… Keep Reading

What is the state of formal research on cryptocurrency investment strategies? In his April 2025 paper entitled “Quantitative Alpha in Crypto Markets: A Systematic Review of Factor Models, Arbitrage Strategies, and Machine Learning Applications”, William Mann synthesizes over two dozen peer-reviewed studies on systematic cryptocurrency trading strategies spanning 2018-2025. He categorizes studies as: Arbitrage and… Keep Reading

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 5/5/25 through 5/9/25. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

Should those aiming to exploit machine learning for portfolio construction focus model training on the broad market or specific industries? In their April 2025 paper entitled “Do Machine Learning Models Need to Be Sector Experts?”, Matthias Hanauer, Amar Soebhag, Marc Stam and Tobias Hoogteijling examine return predictability using several machine learning (ML) models trained on… Keep Reading

“What Kind of Asset Is Bitcoin?” assesses relationships between of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) as a proxy for bitcoin holdings and each of 35 exchange-traded products based on daily and monthly return correlations. How are such relationships evolving? To investigate, we calculate daily and monthly return correlations between bitcoin and each of the… Keep Reading