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U.S. Treasuries Selection by AI Panel

Steve LeCompte | | Posted in: Bonds, Investing Expertise

Is the evolving set of artificial intelligence (AI) platforms based on large language models interesting as U.S. Treasuries selection advisors? Are they monolithic, or diverse? As a simple exploration, we pose to each of Grok, ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity and Gemini the following prompt regarding the seven U.S. Treasuries exchange-traded funds (ETF) considered in "Treasuries ETFs Momentum Strategy Update/Extension":

Using all training and real-time data available to you, please provide your unique view on whether investing in each of the following ETFs is favorable, neutral or unfavorable for the balance of 2026: BIL, SHY, VTIP, IEI, IEF, TIP and TLT. Do not provide any explanations.

We then compare and contrast results. Using responses to the prompt as posed in late May 2026, we find that:

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