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Any Lead-lag Relationships Between Gold and 10-year U.S. Treasuries?

August 9, 2022 • Posted in Bonds, Gold

A subscriber asked whether there are any lead-lag relationships between gold, proxied by SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), and 10-year U.S. Treasury note (T-note) yields. As a proxy for the latter, we use iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF). Using daily and monthly dividend-adjusted prices for GLD and IEF during mid-November 2004 (limited by GLD) through late July 2022, we find that: (more…)

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