Style ETFs show modest monthly return differences versus SPY, with value outperforming growth in Mar/Apr/Dec and growth leading in Oct/Nov (Aug 2001–Oct 2021; 20-year sample too short for confident inference).
Trading Calendar presents full-year and monthly cumulative performance profiles for the overall stock market (S&P 500 Index) based on its average daily behavior. How much do the corresponding monthly behaviors of the various size and value/growth styles deviate from an overall equity market profile? To investigate, we consider the the following six exchange-traded funds (ETF) that cut across capitalization (large, medium and small) and value versus growth:
Using monthly dividend-adjusted closing prices for the style ETFs and SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) during August 2001 through June 2026 (limited by data for IWS/IWP), we find that:
Asset Class ETF Seasonalities? PremiumAverage monthly returns for nine asset class ETFs (SPY, IWM, EFA, EEM, TLT, LQD, VNQ, GLD, DBC) are mostly positive in April, July, November…
Sector Performance by Calendar Month PremiumAverage returns and return dispersion across nine Select Sector SPDR ETFs (XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLU, XLV, XLY) differ somewhat by calendar…
“Sell in May” Over the Long Run Premium"Sell in May" stocks underperformed November-April stocks (CAGR not specified vs buy-and-hold benchmark; Apr 1871–Apr 2021; seasonal timing with 1% trading costs; S&P Composite…
Stock Market Continuation and Reversal Months? PremiumCalendar-month correlations between S&P 500 and Russell 2000 monthly returns and prior 3-, 6- and 12-month returns show unstable continuation/reversal patterns across subperiods and…
Any Seasonality for Gold or Gold Miners? PremiumGold and gold miners show some calendar-month seasonality, with consistent strength in several months and weakness in June, July and October, but returns are…