Objective research to aid investing decisions

Value Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for May 2024 (Final)
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Momentum Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for May 2024 (Final)
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Investing Research Articles

3510 Research Articles

Time for Momentum ETFs?

…momentum and contrarian ETFs based on long-only partitions of broader indexes might offer individual investors practical and diversified access to the momentum factor, and to the associated longer-term contrarian reversal.

Achilles’ Heel of Pre-determined Lifecycle Funds?

…lifecycle investors will generally achieve greater terminal wealth using interim success-based dynamic stocks/fixed income allocation rules than using pre-determined shifts away from stocks and toward fixed income.

Spectral Analysis of Stock Market Cyclicality

…spectral analysis confirms the probable existence of U.S. stock market cycles that coincide with election cycles.

Predictable Pieces of the Market?

…investors/traders may be able to enhance market timing results by focusing on the most predictable styles/industries (for example, via exchange-traded funds).

Hedge Fund Outperformance: Skill or Liquidity Risk?

…hedge fund investors should recognize that many funds generate “alpha” by taking liquidity risks that make converting assets to cash difficult.

Numerology of Trading

…relative demand for a stock peaks at $xx.99, while relative supply peaks at $xx.01, suggesting resistance to crossing dollar thresholds.

Expansive Value vs. Growth Update

…the value premium among stocks is persistent across value indicators, time, market capitalizations and geographical markets.

Sector Rotation vs. Stock Picking

…among a broad sample of actively managed mutual funds, stock picking makes a greater contribution to returns than sector allocation. The average contributions to fund returns from market-sectors-stocks are 79%-9%-12%.

Different Paths to the Same (Disconcerting) Destination?

Both EMH and BSH challenge at fundamental levels the continuity of relationships between/among financial variables…

Exchange Traded Funds vs. Index Mutual Funds

…ETFs offer easy and unique (even leveraged) access to a wide range of asset class/market/style/sector indexes. The 17% of ETFs that compete directly with index mutual funds perform similarly to, or perhaps slightly better than, those mutual funds.