Investing Research Articles

…surprisingly strong (weak) aggregate earnings news, as an indicator of high (low) future inflation, may portend relatively low (high) future stock returns.

…mimicking the most informative actions of outperforming investors/traders reliably generates abnormal short-term returns. Such behavior may explain some of the momentum effect.

…the Sharpe ratio has such a high level of intrinsic variability that it is not a very reliable portfolio comparison tool.

…portfolio management based on statistically reliable characterization of the long-term trend of the stock market offers an economically significant advantage over approaches that ignore the long-term trend.

…individual investors should continually ask themselves whether their information gathering efforts support rational execution of new decisions, or merely feed overconfidence in past decisions.

…the volatility premium for individual stocks derives from volatilities implied by options prices rather than historical (realized) stock price volatilities. This premium may be concentrated in small growth stocks.

The more we study it, the smaller it gets? Or, the act of studying risk diminishes the fear of it?

…it is doubtful that commercial real estate experts can accurately forecast returns from investments in commercial properties by type or location.

…lead underwriter sell recommendations may be the only analyst calls worth tracking.

…small capitalization stocks with low past profitability may be key to exploiting the size effect.