Investing Research Articles

…ormal research on the emotions of investing suggests that mood affects investor behavior, but it does not offer much in the way of practical trading edges. Keeping one’s own emotions in check does seem key to outperforming as a trader.

…traders can outperform by entering positions when volatility spikes and then taking profits quickly.

…rapid meme detection via Internet-enabled technologies may offer an edge for tuned-in traders.

…investors/traders may pivot on earnings, but appear to react to the inflation rate rather than interest rates.

…equity investors should be contrarian when considering economic forecasts. Bad is good.

…the empirical evidence for the size effect is superficially consistent, but frail at closer inspection. The size effect is not “dead,” but it is ailing.

…the bid-ask spread, transaction costs and the price impact of trading make the value premium in small-capitalization stocks hard to capture. The prey is generally too elusive for mutual funds and indexes.

…exceptionally volatile stocks are on average inferior investments, or at least trades. There is no reward for this kind of risk, and presently no explanation for this effect.

…practitioners who use the Fed Model are simpletons. The model is theoretically implausible and empirically challenged.

…corporate profitability and earnings growth exhibit non-linear mean reversion.