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Investing Research Articles

3506 Research Articles

Clustering of Market Closes Near Round Numbers?

…evidence from simple tests on the S&P 500 Index since the mid-1990s does not support a belief that closing levels of the market gravitate toward round numbers. Nor do they support a belief that round numbers of the index systematically act like either support or resistance.

Norman Fosback’s Performance?

Norman Fosback discusses two investing systems on fosback.com: (1) Fosback’s Fund Forecaster; and (2) The Seasonality Timing System…

Combining Value and Earnings Surprise

…investors may be able to achieve abnormal returns by combining value and earnings surprises, with most of the benefit coming from value stocks with positive earnings surprises and positive earnings announcement abnormal returns.

Timing Ability of Bond Mutual Fund Managers

…evidence provides weak support for a belief that managers of U.S. bond mutual funds can on average time the bond market, but fund costs/fees offset any associated net outperformance of reasonable benchmarks.

What About KeyTurningDates.com?

There is not much information on the site…

Abnormal Returns After Switches to/from Daylight Saving Time?

…evidence from a broad international test indicates that switches to/from daylight savings time have no reliable effect on short-term stock returns.

How Rigorous is the Stock Trader’s Almanac?

You can use these three categories (and key word searches) to identify similar analyses and thereby get a second opinion on specific anomalies.

A Few Notes on The Options Trading Body of Knowledge

…investors may find The Options Trading Body of Knowledge useful as a broad source of information on how strategies for stock options work, but they should be skeptical of any judgments it offers on strategy profitability/risk and recognize that rules for other kinds of options may be different.

How Can You Avoid the Fat Left Tails?

Nassim Taleb offers some vague guidance on avoiding wildly bad events. See…

Allocating Assets for Retirement

…retirees may be able to achieve both higher spending allowances and lower probabilities of portfolio exhaustion by allocating part of their portfolios to a safe core and the balance to a growth-tilted stocks-bonds mix.