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Investing Research Articles

3527 Research Articles

Classic Research: Stock Returns in the Long Run

…a supply side analysis indicates that stocks will outperform long-term government bonds by an arithmetic average of 6% annually.

January Effect Alive and Well?

In their October 2005 paper entitled “The January Effect”, Mark Haug and Mark Hirschey examine the persistence of the January effect (abnormally high rates of return during the month of January). Using broad samples of value-weighted and equally-weighted returns spanning 1802-2004 for large-capitalization stocks and 1927-2004 for small-capitalization stocks, they conclude that:

Classic Research: Dow Theory Long Dead?

…the Dow Theory has generated excess risk-adjusted (but not raw) returns when compared to buy-and-hold over some significant periods by following large trends.

Classic Research: Can Individual Investors Consistently Excel?

…skillful individual investors exploit market inefficiencies to earn abnormal profits, above and beyond those available from well-known strategies based upon firm size, value or momentum.

Classic Paper: Emergence of Behavioral Finance

…human psychology and sociology can trump the forces of stock market rationalization, at least for a while.

Classic Research: Demography and the Stock Market

…demographic trends suggest a headwind for U.S. equities over the next 15 years. Baby Boomers may drive P/Es down as they sell to fund retirement.

Benchmarking Returns for Hedge Funds

…10% annual return is currently a reasonable hedge fund benchmark.

Recognition: Is That a Good Thing?

…the greatest returns are to be found on average among stocks least widely held by institutions.

Comprehensive Analysis of Calendar Effects

…calendar effects used to be but mostly aren’t any more.

When Stock Market Models Crash

…Professor Sornette’s attempt to model one equity market via diligent analysis of similarities to another equity market during a different time does not work, perhaps because the model is simplistically behavioral or because randomness dominates predictability.