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Investing Research Articles

3516 Research Articles

Lenny Dykstra at Bat

…Lenny Dykstra’s deep-in-the-money call options (leveraged) strategy depends more on pure volatility and favorable market conditions than on skill in timing the movements of the underlying stocks. A substantial, multi-month market decline could cause the strategy to crash, seriously impacting long-term return on investment.

Momentum and Contrarian Commodity Futures Returns

…commodity futures long-short momentum strategies may offer both good average returns and effective diversification of a stocks/bonds portfolio.

Classic Paper: Returns from Commodity Futures

We occasionally select for retrospective review an all-time “best selling” research paper from the past few years from the General Financial Markets category of the Social Science Research Network (SSRN). Here we summarize the January 2006 paper entitled “The Tactical and Strategic Value of Commodity Futures” (download count over 2,400) by Claude Erb and Campbell… Keep Reading

Outperformance of High-Yield Stocks in the UK

…evidence from this UK study supports a belief that a portfolio of stocks with high dividend yields outperforms the broad market most of the time.

The Outperformance of (Truly) New Hedge Funds

…hedge funds that are truly new offer investors notable average outperformance for the first couple of years. However, funds that back fill prior performance data when they first start reporting appear to have already “used up” their startup alpha.

Institutional Trading, Returns and Strength of Anomalies

…evidence suggests that stocks with low institutional trading activity (distinct from institutional ownership) tend to be overpriced, with amplified return anomalies.

Richard Rhodes Rules?

We evaluate here the market commentary of Richard Rhodes, previously available via Zacks.com over the period March 2004 through October 2005. Richard Rhodes, editor of “The Rhodes Report” newsletter, is one of Zacks’ “pros.” His “proprietary models…provide specific trading recommendations not found at any other shop on or off of Wall Street.” The table below… Keep Reading

Do Informed Traders Tip Their Hands Via Option Purchases?

…evidence supports beliefs that informed traders distort the relationship between the prices for put and call options on individual stocks and that others may be able to exploit these distortions. Relatively expensive calls (puts) predict stock outperformance (underperformance).

Intraday/Daily Stock Return Patterns

…traders may be able to shave a few basis points off trading costs by timing buys (sells) based on a tendency for exact daily recurrence of recent intraday lows (highs).

Presidential Politics and Industry Returns

…evidence does not support a belief that investors can generate excess returns using an industry allocation strategy based on U.S. presidential politics. Equity return anomalies based on party holding the presidency and presidential term year are marketwide phenomena.