Moneyness and the Profitability of Shorting Equity Options
March 6, 2010 - Equity Options
The following research suggests that going further out-of-the-money improves returns from selling equity calls and puts…
March 6, 2010 - Equity Options
The following research suggests that going further out-of-the-money improves returns from selling equity calls and puts…
March 5, 2010 - Momentum Investing, Volatility Effects
…evidence suggests that investors may be able to enhance exploitation of downside momentum by focusing on stocks with high idiosyncratic (non-beta) volatility.
March 4, 2010 - Fundamental Valuation
Since 7/9/09, Christophe Faugère has been publishing (almost) daily “Market Estimates” of the value of the S&P 500 Index based on Required Yield Theory (RYT). RYT views investors as: (1) requiring that U.S. stocks and bonds in aggregate prospectively provide a real after-tax yield directly related to real long-term GDP per capita growth; and then,… Keep Reading
March 3, 2010 - Individual Investing, Real Estate
…evidence from small samples indicates that housing price adjusted for inflation, disposable income and GDP reverts to trend (and that adjusted U.S. housing price is currently low).
March 2, 2010 - Big Ideas, Bonds, Commodity Futures, Currency Trading
…experimental evidence indicates that people, whether expert in finance or not, can quickly learn to distinguish financial markets time series from randomized data with high reliability via simple inference.
March 2, 2010 - Individual Gurus
…evidence seems insufficient to support a belief that Martin Armstrong is an exceptional market forecaster.
March 1, 2010 - Individual Investing
…evidence from detailed Chinese stock account data indicates that the trading of unsophisticated individuals tends to transfer their wealth to institutions and more sophisticated individuals (and to brokers and the government).
February 27, 2010 - Short Selling
…evidence does not support a belief that “buying stocks when they begin trading OTC is a profitable strategy.”
February 26, 2010 - Fundamental Valuation, Value Premium
…evidence suggests that book-to-price ratio and earnings yield explain future stock returns better jointly than individually by more completely anticipating future earnings growth.
February 26, 2010 - Individual Gurus - Guru Accuracy: 66%
We evaluate here the market commentary of Jack Schannep, previously available via Zacks.com (since removed) and currently available via MarketWatch since July 2002. Jack Schannep, editor of The DowTheory.com and author of Dow Theory for the 21st Century: Technical Indicators for Improving Your Investment Results, claims that “[o]ur interpretation of The Dow Theory…and our proprietary… Keep Reading