Investing Research Articles

There is no public data on his web site regarding the performance of his investing/trading recommendations.

The essential explanation for the apparent pricing abnormality you cite is that VIX options are not priced based on the value of VIX but on the price of VIX futures.

The stream of formal research in the public domain on high-frequency trading is relatively thin.

…the sample does not support a belief that his financial markets forecasting ability is remarkable.

Should investors look for consistent predictability, or upside surprises, in quarterly earnings announcements? In his November 2009 paper entitled “Meeting Analyst Forecasts and Stock Returns”, Ioan Mirciov investigates relationships between announced earnings (relative to analyst forecasts) and long-run future stock performance. Using earnings forecasts, actual earnings, stock returns and firm characteristics data for a broad… Keep Reading

…relatively inexperienced investors should find Fire Your Stock Analyst! a useful guide for analyzing U.S. stocks. However, the book presents no benchmarks for investing performance and does not support diversification across asset classes.

…evidence from a limited sample period (in terms of number of bull and bear markets) indicates that optimized leverage beats both fixed leverage and no leverage. However, with unlucky initial conditions, even optimized leverage may underperform no leverage over a period of many years.

As suggested by a reader, we evaluate here stock market forecasts of John Buckingham, Chief Investment Officer of Al Frank Asset Management, who emphasizes careful stock selection, broad diversification and a long investing horizon. He is editor of the Prudent Speculator and author of The Buckingham Report (as much promotional as informative). The few forecasts… Keep Reading

…evidence suggests that investors may be able to predict which SEOs will engender the most pronounced subsequent market underperformance by measuring the level of surprise in the SEO announcement.

Reasons why it is likely unproductive to attempt to rank firm characteristics or factors according to predictive power for future stock returns, or strategies according to modeled alpha, include…