Honing in on the Prospective U.S. Equity Risk Premium
November 22, 2006 - Equity Premium
…investors expect annual equity returns of 3-4% over the risk-free rate in coming years.
November 22, 2006 - Equity Premium
…investors expect annual equity returns of 3-4% over the risk-free rate in coming years.
November 21, 2006 - Buybacks-Secondaries
…the stocks of companies issuing equity and convertible debt tend to underperform over several years as they invest “easy money” into projects of diminishing returns.
November 20, 2006 - Cartoons, Individual Gurus, Investing Expertise
……you may be seeing something like this.
November 19, 2006 - Individual Gurus - Guru Accuracy: 54%
We evaluate here the the market commentary of Paul Tracy available via Zacks.com since October 2002. Paul Tracy, founder and Chief Investment Strategist of StreetAuthority, is one of Zacks’ “pros.” StreetAuthority describes itself as “a research-intensive financial publishing firm that aims to level the playing field for small investors by giving them access to the… Keep Reading
November 16, 2006 - Mutual/Hedge Funds
…synthetic hedge funds constructed statistically as mechanical trading strategies offer transparent, liquid, scalable, low-cost alternatives to actively managed hedge funds.
November 6, 2006 - Economic Indicators, Fundamental Valuation
…over the last 80 years, a few price-normalized variables (price-dividend, price-earnings, price-output and price-consumption ratios) and the approximate consumption-aggregate wealth ratio have been the best stock market indicators.
November 2, 2006 - Individual Investing, Investing Expertise
…the difficulty of successful investing/trading probably makes many investors/traders underestimate their own knowledge/abilities and overestimate the knowledge/abilities of advisors.
October 31, 2006 - Political Indicators
…investors might want lean toward companies that contribute to lots of political candidates (especially Democratic candidates for the House of Representatives).
October 24, 2006 - Technical Trading
Are trades based on complex technical patterns, such as head-and-shoulders, rational speculations or noise? In other words, do such patterns reliably indicate opportunities to capture excess returns? In her July 1998 paper entitled “Identifying Noise Traders: The Head-And-Shoulders Pattern in U.S. Equities”, Carol Osler investigates whether head-and-shoulders trading is significant and whether it is profitable…. Keep Reading
October 20, 2006 - Calendar Effects
…the overnight return on individual stocks is a contrary indicator for next-day returns, but individual “outside” traders may not be able to exploit this tendency.