Objective research to aid investing decisions

Value Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for April 2024 (Final)
Cash TLT LQD SPY

Momentum Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for April 2024 (Final)
1st ETF 2nd ETF 3rd ETF
Filter Research

Investing Research Articles

3506 Research Articles

Timothy Sykes: Penny Stock Pump-and-Dump Detective?

…evidence from simple tests on available data supports a belief that Timothy Sykes can identify pump-and-dump patterns in real time with economically meaningful consistency, but scalability is multiply constrained such that his subscribers may not be able to mimic his trades reliably. Niche constraints may preclude exploitation by large traders, a large group of small traders and funds.

A Few Notes on Put Option Strategies for Smarter Trading

…investors may find Put Option Strategies for Smarter Trading useful as a source of information on how put option strategies work, but they should be skeptical that any examples it presents on strategy profitability are reliably achievable in actual trading.

Apply the Breakout Detection Model to the Euro?

Inserting daily CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) history for 12/12/05-1/13/10 into the model generates no breakout signals over the four-year sample period.

Guru Age Versus Performance?

There is some research relevant to your question based on mutual/hedge fund and fund manager data. See…

Performance of Buy-Write Strategies for Australian Stocks

…evidence indicates that buy-write strategies generally underperform their underlying stocks in Australia.

Success Factors for Futures Traders

…evidence from detailed, but somewhat aged data, indicates that a typical futures speculator makes money by taking a position opposite that of hedgers in aggregate.

Quantitative Versus Qualitative Hedge Funds

…evidence indicates that hedge funds employing quantitative analysis strategies tend to outperform those that use qualitative strategies, perhaps based on superior market timing.

Testing a Complex Breakout Indicator

…evidence based on straightforward assumptions and tests does not support a belief that breakout indications after Bollinger Band-within-Keltner Channel conditions are reliable.

Is Phil Erlanger’s Research Exploitable?

…available data is insufficient to determine whether Phil Erlanger’s Research is exploitable on a net basis. Portfolio overhead and biases in self-reported hypothetical returns could offset reported gross market outperformance for most investors.

Using Commitments of Traders Reports to Time Asset Allocations

…evidence from a limited sample period indicates that information in Commitments of Traders reports regarding aggregate positions (hedging pressure) of commercial and non-commercial futures traders may support successful timing of commodities and equities markets.