Objective research to aid investing decisions

Value Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for October 2024 (Final)
Cash TLT LQD SPY

Momentum Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for October 2024 (Final)
1st ETF 2nd ETF 3rd ETF
Filter Research

Investing Research Articles

3584 Research Articles

Training for the Investor/Trader Hurdles

Investors and traders face three hurdles on the track to success…

Why Highly Volatile Stocks Tend to Underperform

…the idiosyncratic volatility premium is closely related to the value premium, with low volatility and high value stocks tending to outperform. Insensitivity to discount rate (inflation, interest rates) shocks is the common underlying factor.

Capturing the Value Premium by Avoiding Institutional Ownership

…capturing the value premium means focusing on stocks with the lowest institutional ownership.

Market-Leading Industries

…some industries (such as financial and retail positively, and petroleum and metals negatively) lead the overall stock market. However, the indications are not economically significant for traders.

Do What the Company Does?

…firms sell (buy back) company financial assets when their stocks are overvalued (undervalued), and analysts misinterpret or underreact to these actions. Investors should focus on the actions of corporate executives and not the forecasts of analysts.

Combining Momentum and Value for Industry Rotation

…investors can enhance returns by combining value and momentum styles, leaning toward momentum when the yield curve is normal and value when the yield curve is inverted.

Scared by Randomness?

…investors/traders who check investment performance frequently should make mental adjustments for pain-avoidance bias.

Focus on Return on Investment, Not P/E

…investors should focus on return on investment as the driver of investment returns and earnings yield as the indicator of how large the returns should be.

Measuring Company Management Sentiment

…investors/traders generally underreact to the sentiment expressed by executives in company annual reports.

Jack Schannep on Market Timing and Current Market Conditions

Our Guru Grades section ranks a group of 29 stock market experts according to our assessments of the accuracy of their stock market forecasts. Since Jack Schannep has been in the upper tier of the list since inception, we asked him to encapsulate his thinking on market timing as a guest entry for this blog…. Keep Reading