Analysis of Managed Futures?
May 5, 2010 - Commodity Futures
“On a day after a large decline in equities, it might be appropriate to look at managed futures.”
May 5, 2010 - Commodity Futures
“On a day after a large decline in equities, it might be appropriate to look at managed futures.”
May 5, 2010 - Technical Trading
Can technical (price) analysis usefully identify major bubbles and anti-bubbles in financial markets? In the May 2009 version of their paper entitled “A Consistent Model of ‘Explosive’ Financial Bubbles With Mean-Reversing Residuals”, Lin Li, Ruoen Ren and Didier Sornette model bubbles. In their March 2010 paper entitled “Diagnosis and Prediction of Market Rebounds in Financial… Keep Reading
May 4, 2010 - Calendar Effects, Equity Options
…evidence indicates a potentially exploitable tendency for prices of individual U.S. stock options to drop over weekends.
May 3, 2010 - Individual Gurus
“How has Jack Steiman done? I have heard that he does a good job of calling the markets.”
May 3, 2010 - Individual Gurus - Guru Accuracy: 56%
As suggested by a reader, we evaluate here the stock market commentary of the Aden sisters via MarketWatch.com since June 2006. Mary Anne and Pamela Aden are self-described as “two of the most influential and well known investment analysts, writers and lecturers in the world. They are the co-editors and publishers of the Aden Forecast,… Keep Reading
April 30, 2010 - Mutual/Hedge Funds
…evidence indicates that cloning winning mutual funds with consistent styles may be an attractive stock-picking strategy.
April 29, 2010 - Animal Spirits, Big Ideas
In the opening paragraphs of his April 2010 article entitled “Traditional vs. Behavioral Finance”, Robert Bloomfield handicaps his subject contest as follows: “The traditional finance researcher sees financial settings populated not by the error-prone and emotional Homo sapiens, but by the awesome Homo economicus. The latter makes perfectly rational decisions, applies unlimited processing power to… Keep Reading
April 28, 2010 - Big Ideas, Equity Premium
Careful assessment of the exploitability of premiums or anomalies derived from long-run series such as stock indexes requires consideration of contemporaneous trading frictions. How have frictions changed over time? In the May 2002 version of his paper entitled “A Century of Stock Market Liquidity and Trading Costs”, Charles Jones assembles annual long-run series of three… Keep Reading
April 27, 2010 - Calendar Effects
…evidence from joint tests support a belief that the Halloween effect and the turn-of-the-month effect are the “real” calendar effects.