November 13, 2020 Miscellaneous
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 11/9/20 through 11/13/20. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to...
November 13, 2020 Big Ideas
Is aggregate U.S. stock market value sensitive to flows of new funds (inelastic)? In their October 2020 paper entitled “In Search of the Origins of Financial Fluctuations: The Inelastic Markets Hypothesis”, Xavier Gabaix and Ralph...
November 12, 2020 Animal Spirits, Individual Investing
Does technology amplify adverse herding among inexperienced investors? In their October 2020 paper entitled “Attention Induced Trading and Returns: Evidence from Robinhood Users”, Brad Barber, Xing Huang, Terrance Odean and Christopher Schwarz test the relationship...
November 11, 2020 Value Premium
Has growth in the importance of intangible (knowledge) assets versus real assets undermined usefulness of the conventional equity value premium (based only on the latter)? In her September 2020 paper entitled “Intangibles: The Missing Ingredient...
November 10, 2020 Economic Indicators, Political Indicators, Sentiment Indicators, Technical Trading
A subscriber requested, as in “Combine Market Trend and Economic Trend Signals?”, testing of a strategy that combines: (1) U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index, as described and tested separately in “Economic Policy Uncertainty and...
November 6, 2020 Miscellaneous
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 11/2/20 through 11/6/20. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to...
November 6, 2020 Individual Gurus, Investing Expertise
Do non-professional analysts who publish on Seeking Alpha offer valuable stock-picking advice? In their August 2020 paper entitled “The Cross-Section of Non-Professional Analyst Skill”, Michael Farrell, Russell Jame and Tian Qiu measure skill among such...
November 4, 2020 Technical Trading
A subscriber requested testing of a dual simple moving average (SMA) crossover strategy that holds SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) when its 30-day SMA (SMA30d, using 30 trading days) is above its 9-month SMA (SMA9m) and...
November 2, 2020 Currency Trading
Benford’s law states that the probability of the value of the first digit in many naturally occurring samples of numbers, including asset prices, varies inversely with digit magnitude. For example, the number 1 (9) appears...
October 30, 2020 Miscellaneous
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 10/26/20 through 10/30/20. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to...
October 27, 2020 Value Premium
Is there a way to restore confidence in a value premium? In their September 2020 paper entitled “Resurrecting the Value Premium”, David Blitz and Matthias Hanauer seek a reliable value premium via three adjustments to...
October 23, 2020 Miscellaneous
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 10/19/20 through 10/23/20. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to...
October 22, 2020 Momentum Investing, Strategic Allocation
Is there a better way to identify attractive and unattractive assets than simply ranking them? In the August 2020 version of their paper entitled “Decoding Systematic Relative Investing: A Pairs Approach”, Christian Goulding, Campbell Harvey...
October 20, 2020 Strategic Allocation
Does equity factor portfolio reformation (rebalancing) schedule materially affect portfolio performance? In their February 2020 paper entitled “Rebalance Timing Luck: The (Dumb) Luck of Smart Beta”, Corey Hoffstein, Nathan Faber and Steven Braun measure rebalance...
October 19, 2020 Momentum Investing
Subscribers have asked whether substituting Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) for SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) as a proxy for gold improves the performance of the Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS)? To check, we...
October 16, 2020 Miscellaneous
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 10/12/20 through 10/16/20. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to...
October 16, 2020 Investing Expertise, Strategic Allocation
Which institutional investors do best and why? In the September 2020 update of their paper entitled “The Canadian Pension Fund Model: A Quantitative Portrait”, Alexander Beath, Sebastien Betermier, Chris Flynn and Quentin Spehner compare performances...
October 15, 2020 Value Premium
Based on the conventional definition of the value premium, value underperforms growth over last 13.5 years with maximum drawdown of a long value-short growth portfolio -55%. Is value investing dead? In the August 2020 update...
October 14, 2020 Political Indicators
What economic/financial variables are most useful in predicting re-election prospects for incumbent U.S. presidents? In the November 2012 revision of their paper entitled “Social Mood, Stock Market Performance and U.S. Presidential Elections: A Socionomic Perspective...
October 12, 2020 Gold
Is gold a hedge and safe haven for other asset classes globally? In their September 2020 paper entitled “Gold as a Financial Instrument”, Pedro Gomis‐Porqueras, Shuping Shi and David Tan explore effectiveness of gold as...
October 9, 2020 Miscellaneous
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 10/5/20 through 10/9/20. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to...
October 9, 2020 Currency Trading, Economic Indicators
How do different asset classes interact with the Chinese yuan-U.S. dollar exchange rate? To investigate, we consider relationships between WisdomTree Chinese Yuan Strategy (CYB) and the exchange-traded fund (ETF) asset class proxies used in the...
October 7, 2020 Investing Expertise
Do sophisticated investors choose investment managers wisely? In their July 2020 paper entitled “Choosing Investment Managers”, Amit Goyal, Sunil Wahal and Deniz Yavuz investigate how institutional investors select investment managers for public equity and fixed...
October 5, 2020 Animal Spirits
Are typical investors persistently irrational in pursuit of wealth, or pursuing more than wealth? In his December 2019 book entitled Behavioral Finance: The Second Generation, Meir Statman describes and discusses second-generation behavioral finance, which replaces...
October 2, 2020 Miscellaneous
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 9/28/20 through 10/2/20. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to...