Investing Research Articles

Can artificial intelligence (AI) models help investors quantify vague firm risks through textual analysis? In their October 2023 paper entitled “From Transcripts to Insights: Uncovering Corporate Risks Using Generative AI”, Alex Kim, Maximilian Muhn and Valeri Nikolaev explore the value of generative AI tool ChatGPT 3.5 in quantifying firm risks based on politics, climate change… Keep Reading

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 10/16/23 through 10/20/23. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

Does machine learning reliably offer better risk-adjusted portfolio performance than traditional modern portfolio theory (MPT)? In their August 2023 paper entitled “Comparing Deep RL and Traditional Financial Portfolio Methods”, Eric Benhamou, Jean-Jacques Ohana, Beatrice Guez, David Saltiel, Rida Laraki and Jamal Atif compare principles, methodologies and risk-adjusted performances of dynamic deep reinforcement learning (DRL) and… Keep Reading

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 10/9/23 through 10/13/23. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

Prior research indicates that stocks of firms with high direct and indirect carbon dioxide emissions tend to beat the market (offer a carbon premium). Does high-emissions stock outperformance derive from surprisingly high earnings? In their September 2023 paper entitled “Does the Carbon Premium Reflect Risk or Mispricing?”, Yigit Atilgan, Ozgur Demirtas, Alex Edmans and Doruk… Keep Reading

Does quantified uncertainty in government economic policy reliably predict stock market returns? To investigate, we consider the U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index, created by Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom and Steven Davis and constructed from three components: Coverage of policy-related economic uncertainty by prominent newspapers. Number of temporary federal tax code provisions set to expire in… Keep Reading

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 10/2/23 through 10/6/23. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

Will emerging artificial intelligence (AI) tools such as the generative large language model ChatGPT have important roles in the economy, including asset management? In his September 2023 paper entitled “Generative AI: Overview, Economic Impact, and Applications in Asset Management”, Martin Luk reviews the evolution of generative AI models, their economic impact and their applications in… Keep Reading

Can network analysis discover useful momentum spillover across asset classes? In their August 2023 paper entitled “Network Momentum across Asset Classes”, Xingyue (Stacy) Pu, Stephen Roberts, Xiaowen Dong and Stefan Zohren employ a graph machine learning model to discover cross-class momentum connections and devise a network momentum strategy across 64 series of commodities, equities, bonds… Keep Reading

Each month, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) each month generates the Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aggregating monthly inputs from purchasing and supply executives in services firms across the U.S. regarding business activity, new orders, employment and supplier deliveries. ISM releases Services PMI for a month on the third business day of the following… Keep Reading