### Comparing Ivy 5 Allocation Strategy Variations

**April 27, 2020** - Strategic Allocation, Technical Trading, Volatility Effects

A subscriber requested comparison of four variations of an “Ivy 5” asset class allocation strategy, as follows:

- Ivy 5 EW: Assign equal weight (EW), meaning 20%, to each of the five positions and rebalance annually.
- Ivy 5 EW + SMA10: Same as Ivy 5 EW, but take to cash any position for which the asset is below its 10-month simple moving average (SMA10).
- Ivy 5 Volatility Cap: Allocate to each position a percentage up to 20% such that the position has an expected annualized volatility of no more than 10% based on daily volatility over the past month, recalculated monthly. If under 20%, allocate the balance of the position to cash.
- Ivy 5 Volatility Cap + SMA10: Same as Ivy 5 Volatility Cap, but take completely to cash any position for which the asset is below its SMA10.

To perform the tests, we employ the following five asset class proxies:

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond (IEF)

SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

Vanguard REIT ETF (VNQ)

iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)

PowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking (DBC)

We consider monthly performance statistics, annual performance statistics, and full-sample compound annual growth rate (CAGR) and maximum drawdown (MaxDD). Annual Sharpe ratio uses average monthly yield on 3-month U.S. Treasury bills (T-bills) as the risk-free rate. The DBC series in combination with the SMA10 rule are limiting with respect to sample start date and the first return calculations. Using daily and monthly dividend-adjusted closing prices for the five asset class proxies and T-bill yield as return on cash during February 2006 through March 2020, *we find that:*