Investing Research Articles

What is the outlook for the price of bitcoin over the next decade? In their August 2025 paper entitled “Bitcoin Supply, Demand, and Price Dynamics”, Murray Rudd and Dennis Porter model the price evolution of bitcoin based on its fixed potential supply of 21 million coins and plausible demand growth and execution behavior. Specifically, they… Keep Reading

Do AIs that incorporate audio and video (multimodal) aspects of firm/stock analysis (e.g. from YouTube), including tone, delivery style and facial expressions, distill better buy and sell recommendations from financial influencers (finfluencers) than text-only large language models (LLM)? In their May 2025 paper entitled “VideoConviction: A Multimodal Benchmark for Human Conviction and Stock Market Recommendations”,… Keep Reading

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 9/2/25 through 9/5/25. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

Does bitcoin (BTC) return exhibit any exploitable leading or lagging roles with respect to gold (SPDR Gold Shares – GLD) return, change in the all-items consumer price index (CPI) or change in the effective federal funds rate (EFFR) for a monthly measurement interval? To investigate, we compute correlations between monthly BTC return and each of… Keep Reading

Is the performance of listed private equity funds (LPE) on the London Stock Exchange attractive? In their August 2025 paper entitled “What the London Stock Exchange can Teach Us About Private Equity”, Richard Ennis and Daniel Rasmussen examine LPE volatility, valuation and performance and compare findings with those based on private equity net asset values… Keep Reading

How do returns of different asset classes recently interact with the Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR)? We focus on monthly changes (simple differences) in EFFR  and look at lead-lag relationships between change in EFFR and returns for each of the following 10 exchange-traded fund (ETF) asset class proxies: Equities: SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares Russell… Keep Reading

Do exchange-traded funds (ETF) focused on cybersecurity stocks offer attractive performance? To investigate, we compare performance statistics of five cybersecurity ETFs, all currently available, to those of Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), as follows: Amplify Cybersecurity ETF (HACK) First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) iShares Cybersecurity and Tech ETF (IHAK) Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG) WisdomTree… Keep Reading

We have updated monthly allocations and performance data for the Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS) and the Simple Asset Class ETF Value Strategy (SACEVS). We have also updated performance data for the Combined Value-Momentum Strategy. We have updated the Trading Calendar to incorporate data for August 2025.

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 8/25/25 through 8/29/25. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

The home page, Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS) and Simple Asset Class ETF Value Strategy (SACEVS) now show preliminary positions for September 2025. SACEMS rankings probably will not change by the close. SACEVS allocations are unlikely to change by the close.