September 1, 2009 Fundamental Valuation
...it may be that trading frictions materially degrade the outcomes presented for these two investing strategies. It would be difficult for most individual investors to establish economical positions (very large with respect to transaction fees)...
September 1, 2009 Momentum Investing, Mutual/Hedge Funds
...evidence suggests that past six-month fund return is a stronger indicator of mutual fund momentum than either nearness of fund net asset value to its one-year high or a more abstract sensitivity of fund returns...
August 31, 2009 Big Ideas
...investors should adopt a stance of considerable skepticism about stock-picking research.
August 30, 2009 Investing Expertise
Independent collection and analysis of this data is not presently practical for CXOadvisory.com.
August 29, 2009 Individual Gurus
There is not enough information to tell whether the claims about investment results...represent a reasonable expectation for a subscriber.
August 28, 2009 Technical Trading
Proprietary information is not subject to "fair use" for review as is publicly available but copyrighted information.
August 28, 2009 Momentum Investing, Technical Trading
...evidence from simple tests does not support a belief that adding a downside risk factor materially enhances the performance of a momentum-driven tactical asset class allocation strategy.
August 27, 2009 Momentum Investing, Volatility Effects
...evidence from mutual funds suggests that momentum (contrarian) investors/traders can enhance returns by focusing on stocks with high (low) beta.
August 27, 2009 Commodity Futures
CXOadvisory.com generally focuses on U.S. equities for this kind of analysis.
August 25, 2009 Individual Gurus
Guru Accuracy: 55%
...we are putting Jon Markman on a watch list but not establishing a formal review at this time.
August 24, 2009 Individual Gurus
Guru Accuracy: 40%
As suggested by a reader, we evaluate here the stock market commentary of Bob Hoye via “Pivotal Events” commentary at SafeHaven. Bob Hoye is Editor & Chief Investment Strategist of Institutional Advisors, which states that:...
August 24, 2009 Individual Gurus
Guru Accuracy: 53%
...evidence from simple tests using an imperfect metric indicates that Robert Drach's approach to timing the broad U.S. stock market depresses rather than enhances portfolio returns. The aggregate performance of his "Basic Timing" Model Portfolio...
August 22, 2009 Individual Gurus
The evaluation of Jim Puplava’s stock market forecasts is based on his archive of regular written market commentaries, covering roughly early 2002 through early 2005, at which point he discontinued publishing them.
August 22, 2009 Individual Gurus
Guru Accuracy: 40%
We evaluate here the market commentary of Jim Puplava at Financial Sense Online for February 2002 (the earliest available) through October 2005, at which point he stopped posting regular written commentaries archive. Jim Puplava is...
August 21, 2009 Individual Gurus
...statistical testing of their specific methods or conclusions is more appropriate than subjective grading of market commentaries (which they apparently do not issue anyway).
August 21, 2009 Technical Trading
...the QQQQ Crash Trade Trigger has not worked very well since James Altucher began writing about it in 2003, perhaps due to data mining bias in the pre-publication analysis.
August 20, 2009 Individual Gurus
The information at Dohmen Capital Research appears to be mostly promotional copy and opinion rather than research.
August 20, 2009 Fundamental Valuation
The Value Line Select ETF (VLSE) Index “is an equal-dollar weighted index comprised of between 30 and 100 U.S. traded ETFs ranked #1 by Value Line Publishing, Inc… The Value Line ETF Ranking System seeks...
August 19, 2009 Mutual/Hedge Funds
...evidence from hedge fund due diligence reports indicates a substantial level of misrepresentation by fund managers and confirms return chasing by investors. Key indicators of fund manager truthfulness are uses of external asset pricing and...
August 19, 2009 Individual Gurus
...there is not enough information on VectorVest's public web site to do any detailed evaluation.
August 18, 2009 Animal Spirits, Technical Trading
...Asian stock markets do to some degree follow the U.S. market, including its sharp drops. However, U.S. market plunges are rare and clustered, the Asian market responses to these plunges are noisy, and overnight/weekend gaps...
August 17, 2009 Fundamental Valuation
...evidence indicates that aggregate earnings alone are not a useful predictor of overall stock market behavior, but firm-level (highly segmented industry) earnings are useful for predicting returns of individual stocks (highly segmented industries).
August 16, 2009 Individual Gurus
There is not enough information publicly available on the web to test his claims.
August 15, 2009 Individual Gurus
There is not enough information on the Financial Picks web site to evaluate the claims of accuracy or returns there.
August 11, 2009 Equity Options
...evidence suggests that covered call writers who can achieve relatively low trading frictions can maximize returns by focusing on small, high-volatility, illiquid past winners. For small players, achieving low trading frictions is problematic.