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Investing Research Articles

3841 Research Articles
Post Date: 01012016 01042021 Clear all

Have You Ever Investigated Accruals and valuedog.com?

...it may be that trading frictions materially degrade the outcomes presented for these two investing strategies. It would be difficult for most individual investors to establish economical positions (very large with respect to transaction fees)...

Mutual Fund Momentum Measure Fly-off

...evidence suggests that past six-month fund return is a stronger indicator of mutual fund momentum than either nearness of fund net asset value to its one-year high or a more abstract sensitivity of fund returns...

A Rather Unsatisfying Morass of Variables

...investors should adopt a stance of considerable skepticism about stock-picking research.

How About Grading Broker Upgrades and Downgrades?

Independent collection and analysis of this data is not presently practical for CXOadvisory.com.

Jim Shepherd’s Track Record?

There is not enough information to tell whether the claims about investment results...represent a reasonable expectation for a subscriber.

Does the IBD Market Pulse Really Work?

Proprietary information is not subject to "fair use" for review as is publicly available but copyrighted information.

Enhancing Asset Class Momentum with Downside Risk Avoidance?

...evidence from simple tests does not support a belief that adding a downside risk factor materially enhances the performance of a momentum-driven tactical asset class allocation strategy.

Interplay of Beta with Momentum and Contrarian Investing

...evidence from mutual funds suggests that momentum (contrarian) investors/traders can enhance returns by focusing on stocks with high (low) beta.

Ever Looked at the EIA STEO?

CXOadvisory.com generally focuses on U.S. equities for this kind of analysis.

Jon Markman Speculates

...we are putting Jon Markman on a watch list but not establishing a formal review at this time.

Bob Hoye: Rational Fringe?

As suggested by a reader, we evaluate here the stock market commentary of Bob Hoye via “Pivotal Events” commentary at SafeHaven. Bob Hoye is Editor & Chief Investment Strategist of Institutional Advisors, which states that:...

Robert Drach, Trading with 95% Confidence?

...evidence from simple tests using an imperfect metric indicates that Robert Drach's approach to timing the broad U.S. stock market depresses rather than enhances portfolio returns. The aggregate performance of his "Basic Timing" Model Portfolio...

No Updates on Jim Puplava?

The evaluation of Jim Puplava’s stock market forecasts is based on his archive of regular written market commentaries, covering roughly early 2002 through early 2005, at which point he discontinued publishing them.

Jim Puplava Erupts

We evaluate here the market commentary of Jim Puplava at Financial Sense Online for February 2002 (the earliest available) through October 2005, at which point he stopped posting regular written commentaries archive. Jim Puplava is...

Why Not Ned Davis or Lowry?

...statistical testing of their specific methods or conclusions is more appropriate than subjective grading of market commentaries (which they apparently do not issue anyway).

Testing the QQQQ Crash Trade Trigger

...the QQQQ Crash Trade Trigger has not worked very well since James Altucher began writing about it in 2003, perhaps due to data mining bias in the pre-publication analysis.

How About Bert Dohmen?

The information at Dohmen Capital Research appears to be mostly promotional copy and opinion rather than research.

Performance of the Value Line Select ETF Index

The Value Line Select ETF (VLSE) Index “is an equal-dollar weighted index comprised of between 30 and 100 U.S. traded ETFs ranked #1 by Value Line Publishing, Inc… The Value Line ETF Ranking System seeks...

Due Diligence on Hedge Funds

...evidence from hedge fund due diligence reports indicates a substantial level of misrepresentation by fund managers and confirms return chasing by investors. Key indicators of fund manager truthfulness are uses of external asset pricing and...

How About Evaluating VectorVest?

...there is not enough information on VectorVest's public web site to do any detailed evaluation.

Global Stock Market Contagion

...Asian stock markets do to some degree follow the U.S. market, including its sharp drops. However, U.S. market plunges are rare and clustered, the Asian market responses to these plunges are noisy, and overnight/weekend gaps...

Predictive Power of Aggregate Versus Firm-specific Earnings

...evidence indicates that aggregate earnings alone are not a useful predictor of overall stock market behavior, but firm-level (highly segmented industry) earnings are useful for predicting returns of individual stocks (highly segmented industries).

Mark Skousen’s Claims So “Wild” They Might Be True?

There is not enough information publicly available on the web to test his claims.

What About Dan Murphy?

There is not enough information on the Financial Picks web site to evaluate the claims of accuracy or returns there.

Are Some Covered Calls More Profitable Than Others?

...evidence suggests that covered call writers who can achieve relatively low trading frictions can maximize returns by focusing on small, high-volatility, illiquid past winners. For small players, achieving low trading frictions is problematic.