Investing Research Articles

…operating earnings forecasts are the best simple indicator of stock market valuation.

…high short interest alone does not predict abnormally low future returns. Rather, high short interest for stocks that are particularly risky to trade (high idiosyncratic volatility) predicts low future returns.

…there are a lot of twists and turns to momentum strategy returns. Momentum players should pay attention to the subtleties.

…a pro-Democrat/anti-Republican bias in the mainstream media may affect the economic risk perception of some investors/potential investors, thereby affecting stock valuations.

…media sentiment predicts small surprises in earnings and stock prices, which investors quickly incorporate into stock prices. However, transaction costs offset the surprise returns.

…the losers are the Mad Money viewers who buy recommended stocks at the open the next day. The winners are the market makers and arbitrageurs who sell the overpriced recommendations on day 1, and the traders who sell them on days 2 through 12.

…the value of a company’s equity depends on its future cash flows (derived from the company’s growth rate and return on investment) and on the required return on equity.

…mutual fund investors should favor funds having ownership stakes, which directly align managerial incentives with investor goals.

…economic activity generally transcends politics in politically free societies.

…investors should generally ignore advertising in choosing mutual funds; they should consciously control their fund search methodologies to achieve rational decisions.